Monday, June 22, 2009

Infra-stocks not cheap but see 'earnings upgrades' - Tata

Indian infrastructure stocks are not cheap after a surge since early March, but could see earnings upgrades later this year, making valuations reasonable, the manager of the country's oldest infrastructure mutual fund said.

The environment has turned positive given improved prospects for a push in infrastructure spending after India elected a stable Congress party-led government in April-May polls, said M Venugopal, head of equity at Tata Asset Management.
The fund manager, who oversees about 55 billion rupees ($1.14 billion), including nearly $750 million in three infrastructure funds, said he favoured industrial capital goods, power and construction firms given the opportunity they offered.
"The electoral verdict has given the sector improved visibility and continuity," said Venugopal, whose holdings include engineering firms Bharat Heavy Electrical, Larsen & Toubro and IVRCL Infrastructures & Projects.
"Also, given the uncertain global environment, investors are focused on domestic-led growth and probably infrastructure qualifies the best in this space," he said.
While getting costly and long-term projects finished is the main challenge, the theme will dominate investment in India as infrastructure creation is a key growth driver, said Venugopal.
India estimates it needs about $500 billion to fix its clogged airports, roads and inadequate power supply to continue growing at 9 percent a year to 2012. More than $150 billion of it will have to be funded by the private sector.
The sector suffered a blow last year when the global credit crunch starved Indian infrastructure firms of funds and economic growth slumped.
That led to earnings downgrades, and the BSE capital goods index plummeted 65 percent in 2008, worse than the 52 percent fall in the benchmark index.
Shares have bounced back this year, with Venugopal's Tata Infrastructure Fund gaining 46.9 percent as of June 17, slightly lagging the 50.5 percent rise in the main stock index.


The unexpectedly decisive win by the Congress-led coalition has boosted sentiment towards infrastructure, as government plays a key role in creation of infrastructure and stability gives the government a free hand to implement its policies.
Venugopal's firm is seeking regulatory clearance to offer its fourth infrastructure fund, focusing on small and mid-cap stocks.
He said infrastructure firms could see an upward revision in earnings in the second half of the year to March as the sector benefits from India's rapid urbanisation and rising incomes.
Foreign companies that have set up in India, meanwhile, are demanding better roads and more reliable power supplies.
"Despite all that has been done, there is a significant gap between what is available and what is required," said the fund manager, who also holds shares such as top lender State Bank of India and top cellular firm Bharti Airtel.
"The thrust on infrastructure creation would continue for some time and would require a further boost, which hopefully the government would give," said Venugopal.


No comments:

Just click away from joining most active Mutual Fund India google group

Google Groups
Subscribe to Mutual Fund india
Email:
Visit this group

Aggrasive Portfolio

  • Principal Emerging Bluechip fund (Stock picker Fund) 11%
  • Reliance Growth Fund (Stock Picker Fund) 11%
  • IDFC Premier Equity Fund (Stock picker Fund) (STP) 11%
  • HDFC Equity Fund (Mid cap Fund) 11%
  • Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 8%
  • Sundram BNP Paribas Select Midcap Fund (Midcap Fund) 8%
  • Fidelity Special Situation Fund (Stock picker Fund) 8%
  • Principal MIP Fund (15% Equity oriented) 10%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%
  • Kotak Flexi Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%

Moderate Portfolio

  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 11%
  • Principal Large Cap Fund (Largecap Equity Fund) 10%
  • Reliance Vision Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • IDFC Imperial Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • Reliance Regular Saving Fund (Stock Picker Fund) 10%
  • Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 9%
  • HDFC Prudence Fund (Balance Fund) 9%
  • ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan (Dynamic Fund) 9%
  • Principal MIP Fund (15% Equity oriented) 10%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%
  • Kotak Flexi Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%

Conservative Portfolio

  • ICICI Prudential Index Fund (Index Fund) 16%
  • HDFC Prudence Fund (Balance Fund) 16%
  • Reliance Regular Savings Fund - Balanced Option (Balance Fund) 16%
  • Principal Monthly Income Plan (MIP Fund) 16%
  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 8%
  • Principal Large Cap Fund (Largecap Equity Fund) 8%
  • JM Arbitrage Advantage Fund (Arbitrage Fund) 16%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 14%

Best SIP Fund For 10 Years

  • IDFC Premier Equity Fund (Stock Picker Fund)
  • Principal Emerging Bluechip Fund (Stock Picker Fund)
  • Sundram BNP Paribas Select Midcap Fund (Midcap Fund)
  • JM Emerging Leader Fund (Multicap Fund)
  • Reliance Regular Saving Scheme (Equity Stock Picker)
  • Biral Mid cap Fund (Mid cap Fund)
  • Fidility Special Situation Fund (Stock Picker)
  • DSP Gold Fund (Equity oriented Gold Sector Fund)