Kaushik Dani, a Mumbai-based fund manager at Peerless Mutual
Fund, which has 49 billion rupees in assets, comments on the outlook for Indian
stocks. Dani spoke in a phone interview.
On market outlook:
“Global concerns are still there, which continue to affect
markets. A major concern is the high inflation rate, which is not softening.
Credit options are also slowing down. Everyone is eyeing the U.S. jobs data to
come out today, to see how markets will go.”
On interest rates:
“There is a general consensus of a 25-basis point rise in
interest rates on Sept. 16. The most important thing to watch out for is the
monthly inflation data, which is out before the policy is announced. Inflation
is not decreasing month-on-month and if comes on the higher side, it will show
things in the economy are not improving.”
The central bank has raised its repurchase rate 11 times
since the start of 2010 and last increased it by 50 basis points on July 26 to
8 percent to damp living costs that are rising the fastest among the so-called
BRICS nations.
On investment strategy:
“For the past couple of quarters, we have been focusing on
non-interest rate sensitive sectors, like consumer goods, health-care and
select technology stocks. We also like a few automobile stocks. Investors
should avoid high rate-sensitive sectors, where leverage is high, such as
realty, metals and power-generation.”
Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-08/avoid-india-realty-metal-stocks-amid-rising-rates-peerless-say.html