The dice is heavily loaded in favour of mutual funds, unless
you are a great stock picker.
At a time when both Indian and global equity markets are
being plagued by bad news, retail investors aren’t sure of the strategy they
need to adopt. Should they bet on the equity markets now or take the safe route
of mutual funds?
This is a loaded question. This does not have a simple yes
or no answer and depends on a person's risk taking ability, return expectations
combined with the ability and inclination to manage a share portfolio, as
opposed to simply investing in mutual fund schemes.
However, if the same question is posed in the context of the
current downward slide in the markets, the answer could be far more definite.
Consider this… can a person used to swimming in a pool
switch to swimming in an ocean or river at will? The answer seems self-evident
as swimming in a pool is far easier as it is a controlled environment. Swimming
in a river or ocean is far more difficult as one has to contend with the
surging waters, currents and whirlpools.
There are of course other lurking dangers like alligators,
sharks and so on, which can cause harm. So, even those who swim regularly in
pools aren’t always willing to jump into a river or ocean. Apart from the
perils involved, swimming in the open, also calls for higher level of skills.
It even involves different, special skills, not required in a pool.
MUTUAL FUNDS
That is precisely the difference between investing in mutual funds and equity.
Mutual fund investments are far safer as there is a fund manager who takes care
of the investments and whose only mandate is to monitor and manage the
investments that his fund makes. Not much knowledge is required from the
investors' side, except for the due diligence on selecting an appropriate fund
to invest, in-line with their requirements.
Most investors, are not even aware of who the fund manger
is, but a look at the kind of returns the fund manages over the years, and you
can judge his work. Good managers will use extensive information from their
research to pick the best stocks. Over time, the investor just needs to check
if the fund manager is sticking to the mandate and is delivering a return
superior to the corresponding index and the category, enough to justify the
charges.
But not all investors want to depend on the fund manager’s
discretion. Such an investor may want to invest in the broad economy instead.
He could invest in index funds. This is even simpler, as the investor does not
have to spend too much time studying what to invest in. All he needs to know is
which index, he should like to invest in and what the charges are for managing
it.
Savvy investors may also want to go through websites that
rate mutual funds on various parameters.
EQUITY
Equity, however, is a different ball game. Here, the investor needs to analyse
and choose the equity shares to invest in. This is easier said than done.
Choosing a good equity share requires broad understanding of the economy,
sectors and the company itself. One has to go through the financials of the
company like balance sheet, profit and loss account as well as all other
parameters that indicate the health of the enterprise.
As individual investors, most people do not have the
capability nor the inclination to do this. Unless, they have a good broker or
advisor, they may end up taking or simply choose bluechips. you could end up a
sucker , if you have been taking tips from the wrong person.
Again the latter may also not be the best investment
decision since there are many good buys even among the smaller stocks. By
avoiding them totally, you may miss the opportunity to buy potential
multibaggers. You might as well have, invested in an index funds if you want to
go for bluechips only.
STRATEGY
Given these facts, investors want to know what changes they need to introduce
in their strategy. The proximate cause is that an investor hears that some
stock's prices have come to 50 per cent levels of what it was prevailing at, a
year ago. Investors will also find bluechips among these. Most market experts
have been asking investors to buy at such points, given that these stocks may
not be available at such attractive valuations in a upward moving market. That
gets investors salivating.
But if there are major drops, there would be reasons for it.
Assuming that it has dropped due to market conditions would be wrong. GTL Infra
and KS Oils are cases in the point. For KS Oils the 52 week High/low is 63.1
and 7.7 and that for GTL Infra is 48/ 10.5. The drops here may make one
salivate and invest in them; but these companies prices have come down because
the equity shares pledged have been sold to recover the money.
That hints at a cashflow problem for these companies and
hence caution is advised. What this illustrates is that, just a price drop is
not sufficient reason for picking up a stock. Unfortunately, in a falling
market, investors who follow the herd mentality, may end up picking up stocks
that should be best left untouched.
Investments are done with a purpose. Admittedly, there is
more than one route to get to one's goal. Mutual funds allow investments
through either lump sum payments or systematic investment plans. One could
follow similar investment patterns for equity investing too. Either ways,
staying invested for longer periods is the only way to make money from equities
as well as mutual funds.
However, changing from equity to mutual funds or vice versa,
may not be warranted just to take advantage of a falling market. Those
investing in mutual funds should continue to stay invested there - for the fund
manager would be able to take advantage of the situation, much better than any
individual investor.
Those who have been investing in equities, however will have
enough knowledge to pick and choose the right investments. For them, equity
markets at this point provides great opportunities. Equity investors can
consider mutual funds, to bring down their risk.In summary, one need not change
the investment strategy due to market conditions. Rather, it is better to think
it out before opting for a strategy. And once done, stick to one's strategy -
be it equity or mutual fund investing.
Source: http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/direct-stocks-or-mutual-funds/447968/