Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Is it the right time to invest in gold schemes?

In times of turbulence, when equity seems to have lost out in race, fund houses have begun to cash in on the interest generated by the yellow metal. Gold has gained over 57% in the last two years. But, the moot question is: does it make sense to invest in the metal at current levels?
Fund managers and investors have been the beneficiaries of the spike in gold prices in last two years and both gold exchange traded funds (ETFs) and world gold funds (WGFs) have become highly popular among investors these days.
Gold ETFs are mutual funds that invest directly in pure gold while WGFs invest in equities of gold mining companies across the globe. Both these categories of mutual fund schemes have generated handsome returns for the investors, though WGFs have been affected by the stock market meltdown.
Gold ETFs, whose returns are directly linked to the gold price, have generated over 20% returns in last one year. The spectacular show by this category has resulted in healthy inflows into these schemes. Since January 2008, the assets (AUM) of gold ETFs has surged by about 59% to Rs 756 crore by the end of March this year.
Currently five fund houses offer gold ETFs in India, but more are gearing up to join the group. Recently SBI Magnum joined the bandwagon of Benchmark, UTI, Reliance, Kotak and Quantum, who currently offer gold ETFs. Interestingly, Kotak AMC now plans to launch another gold fund. According to its offer document filed with Sebi, the new gold fund would be a feeder fund that would invest in existing gold ETFs.
WGFs have also put up a decent show in the last six months. These are however feeder funds and thus not actively managed in India. Both AIG and DSP Blackrock, the only two fund houses currently to have WGFs, manage these funds through their internationally based parent gold fund.
While the equity meltdown did impact WGFs, especially in the first half of the last fiscal, the sensational rise in the gold prices did benefit the stocks of gold mining companies where WGFs usually invest. Both the WGFs have thus reported more than 50% rise in returns over the last six months, which is even higher than the rise in gold prices.
Encouraged by the rising price of the gold, fund houses are now devising plans to diversify portfolios to incorporate the yellow metal . While UTI has launched a wealth builder fund that invests in equity, debt and gold ETFs, Sundaram BNP Paribas is also planning to launch a scheme on similar lines whose offer document has been filed with Sebi. Investors can now thus look forward to many more options to invest in gold.
But is it the right time to invest in gold schemes?
Recently a brief rally in equity markets resulted in the fall in gold prices from $967 an ounce to $865 in just two weeks. If the equity rally continues for some more time, gold prices may see further downside and may see the the range of $840- $800.
Historically too, the April-September period has been a subdued one for gold. However, if gold manages to close above $915- $920 in the coming days, the metal could rise to around $1000 by the second half of the current year.Nevertheless, gold’s outstanding performance last year continues to makes it one of the most preferred investment avenue for several investors.

No comments:

Just click away from joining most active Mutual Fund India google group

Google Groups
Subscribe to Mutual Fund india
Email:
Visit this group

Aggrasive Portfolio

  • Principal Emerging Bluechip fund (Stock picker Fund) 11%
  • Reliance Growth Fund (Stock Picker Fund) 11%
  • IDFC Premier Equity Fund (Stock picker Fund) (STP) 11%
  • HDFC Equity Fund (Mid cap Fund) 11%
  • Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 8%
  • Sundram BNP Paribas Select Midcap Fund (Midcap Fund) 8%
  • Fidelity Special Situation Fund (Stock picker Fund) 8%
  • Principal MIP Fund (15% Equity oriented) 10%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%
  • Kotak Flexi Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%

Moderate Portfolio

  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 11%
  • Principal Large Cap Fund (Largecap Equity Fund) 10%
  • Reliance Vision Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • IDFC Imperial Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 10%
  • Reliance Regular Saving Fund (Stock Picker Fund) 10%
  • Birla Sun Life Front Line Equity Fund (Large Cap Fund) 9%
  • HDFC Prudence Fund (Balance Fund) 9%
  • ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan (Dynamic Fund) 9%
  • Principal MIP Fund (15% Equity oriented) 10%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%
  • Kotak Flexi Fund (Liquid Fund) 6%

Conservative Portfolio

  • ICICI Prudential Index Fund (Index Fund) 16%
  • HDFC Prudence Fund (Balance Fund) 16%
  • Reliance Regular Savings Fund - Balanced Option (Balance Fund) 16%
  • Principal Monthly Income Plan (MIP Fund) 16%
  • HDFC TOP 200 Fund (Large Cap Fund) 8%
  • Principal Large Cap Fund (Largecap Equity Fund) 8%
  • JM Arbitrage Advantage Fund (Arbitrage Fund) 16%
  • IDFC Savings Advantage Fund (Liquid Fund) 14%

Best SIP Fund For 10 Years

  • IDFC Premier Equity Fund (Stock Picker Fund)
  • Principal Emerging Bluechip Fund (Stock Picker Fund)
  • Sundram BNP Paribas Select Midcap Fund (Midcap Fund)
  • JM Emerging Leader Fund (Multicap Fund)
  • Reliance Regular Saving Scheme (Equity Stock Picker)
  • Biral Mid cap Fund (Mid cap Fund)
  • Fidility Special Situation Fund (Stock Picker)
  • DSP Gold Fund (Equity oriented Gold Sector Fund)